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On flat racing meetings, where you have shorter races than the Jump meetings, there is sometimes what is known as a 'Bias'. This is where there is an advantage, depentant to where the horse is drawn in the stall. This is because of a oncoming bend in the track to the left or right, or because of better ground on one side of the course, than the other.
One way to realise the bend in the course, is similar to a bend in an athletics track. The athletes are staggered as they start, so that there is no advantage to the runners that are nearer the middle of the center of the track. The athletes that are further out on the rim of the track would have longer to run than those on the inside, as they go around the bend.
This rule still applies to horse race courses, but the starting stalls are not staggered. So dependant on which way the first bend is, either left or right, will give the horses in the low , or high numbered stalls, an advantage over the other horses. The shorter the race, generally, the more the advantage, or disadvantage, to where your horse is situated. Some of the more well known advantages are a low stall bias at chester, and a high bias at Beverley.
There are sometimes draw bias on straight tracks. This can be due to many factors, like the way the course naturally drains rain water, this may be to one side more than the other. This creates slow going on one side of the course, and faster going on the other, thus giving certain stalls an advantage as they sprint down the track. Other factors are that when a course has a meeting that lasts a few days, one side of the track may become 'pitted' or sticky as races run over the same parts of the course time and again. So confusingly the bias can change at certain meetings, as the days go on!
The exact bias for your race can be checked in the Racing Post, in the form guide for your horse. This will detail whether there is a bias worth considering for your race. If it has three HHH's that will denote a sharp high bias, just one H will be a slight high draw bias. Low draw is denoted by 'L's. Do not forget that the horse number is not the stall number. this is found in lighter type to the top right of your horse in most form guides.
I have listed below a simplified draw bias guide. Some tracks have a higher bias than others, and it can mean the difference between just getting your head in front and winning, or just not getting up in time and losing. You will still need to use form, check the going, and so forth, but you should always have a glance at the draw as part of your usual checks.
Ascot.
Low draw Significance:- Slight
Ayr.
Low draw Significance:- Slight
Bath. High draw Significance:- Slight
Beverley.
High draw Significance:- High
Carlisle.
High draw Significance:- High
Catterick.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Chester.
Low draw Significance:- High
Doncaster.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Doncaster. Straight
Low draw Significance:- High
Epsom.
Low draw Significance:- Slight
Goodwood.
High draw Significance:- Medium
Hamilton.
High draw Significance:- Medium
Haydock.
Low draw Significance:- Slight
Kempton.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Lingfield.
High draw Significance:- High
Musselburgh.
High draw Significance:- Medium
Newbury.
Low draw Significance:- Slight
Nottingham.
Low or High draw Significance:- Slight
Pontefract.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Redcar.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Salisbury.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Sandown.
High draw Significance:- Slight
Southwell.
Low or high draw Significance:- Slight
Thirsk.
Low draw Significance:- Slight
Warwick.
Low draw Significance:- High
Wolverhampton.
High draw Significance:- Slight
York.
Low draw Significance:- Medium
Use this as a guide, but individually check your horses stall, and race distance with the Racing Post. |